Tuesday, February 4, 2020

Will Your College Survive?

FEBRUARY 4, 2020 | written by STEVE ULRICH
your must-read briefing on what's driving the day in NCAA Division III

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1.  Will Your College Survive?

 Martin Leon Barreto for The Chronicle

For years, pundits and policy makers have speculated about the fate of higher education. That is complex work, because whether and how each student earns a diploma is unique and difficult to predict.
In February, the Johns Hopkins University Press will publish The College Stress Test, by Robert ZemskySusan Shaman, and Susan Campbell Baldridge. The book includes a section on how to calculate the market pressures on a college to determine how endangered it is. The formula is an analysis of an institution’s position in the market, not its finances.
Why this matters: The three scholars are among a wave of experts who want to figure out the best ways to predict a college’s future. Even pre-release, the book has generated controversy.

>> Takeaway: Authors of The College Stress Test assess 10 percent of colleges as deeply troubled, 30 percent as struggling, and 60 percent as not significantly stressed.

>> The Math: For nonprofit private colleges, for example, the authors based their market-stress analysis on the percentage change in the number of first-year students from 2008 to 2016 (the most recent year that government data is available), the first-to-second-year retention, the market price, and the endowment-to-expense ratio. The analysis of public four-year colleges swaps out that last number for state-appropriation levels.

>> What They're Saying: "Higher ed is desperately in need of a good set of core metrics around financial health and sustainability," says Rick Staisloff, a finance expert in higher education — for the public, yes, but also to clue in administrators at struggling institutions. "It really is shocking how little colleges understand about their own business model and how it works, even at a senior level," says Staisloff.

>> The Bottom Line: Metrics can point to the stress a college might be feeling, but predictions of closure for specific institutions — particularly years away — might be overreaching.

>> Go Deeper courtesy of the Chronicle of Higher Education

2.  Trailblazer

Katie Sowers stands amongst her team

"On February 2, football fans witnessed sports history: Katie Sowers, an assistant coach for the San Francisco 49ers, became the first woman to coach in the Super Bowl. Melissa Ludtke (Wellesley ’73), who made sports history herself in 1978 when she took Major League Baseball to federal court and won equal access for women reporters, talks about the impact of Sowers’ career path and the increasing visibility of women in the world of professional sports."

Q: You’ve said that your MLB victory paved the way for more women to have successful careers in sports media. How do you see Katie Sowers’ position with the 49ers adding to this narrative?
Ludtke: Title IX has enabled women and girls to have experiences that in my childhood most girls weren’t able to have in terms of competing in sports. So as women, they have the knowledge and experiences that prepare them to have positions like Katie’s. And in fact, they already are doing similar jobs in other professional sports.
Q: What do women’s voices and participation add in the athletic sphere, as journalists, coaches, or in other leadership roles?
Ludtke: I am reminded of what tennis writer Grace Lichtenstein wrote: “The secret is women make better sportswriters than men. They don’t come to sports writing with false illusion about knowing baseball better than the players. They ask better questions and probe more sensitive areas than run, catch, and throw.”

>> Read the entire Q and A

3.  Calendar

Feb. 4-5: Championships Committee meeting, Indianapolis
Feb. 10-11: Financial Aid Committee meeting, Indianapolis
Feb. 12: First regional basketball rankings
Feb. 17: Presidents Day
Feb. 18: Nominating Committee meeting, Indianapolis
Feb. 18: First regional ice hockey rankings
Feb. 18-19: Membership Committee meeting, Indianapolis
Feb. 20-21: Interpretations and Legislative Committee meeting, Indianapolis


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    4.   Men's Poll

    >> On The Move: Mount Union (+6), Johns Hopkins (+4)
    >> Hello: Springfield, Albion.

    >> Beyond the Arc: Yeshiva senior Simcha Halpert is fourth among all collegiate players with 336 career threes. His 3.57 per career game (94) is tops in the country amongst fourth-year players.

    >> What We're Watching: #7 Nebraska Wesleyan at Coe (WED); #18 UW-La Crosse at #12 UW-Platteville (WED); #2 Saint John's at Augsburg (SAT); #8 Elmhurst at #17 North Central (SAT); Emerson at #23 Springfield (SAT); #11 Washington U. at #6 Emory (SUN).

    5.   Women's Poll

    >> On The Move: Augsburg (+4), Gettysburg (+3)
    >> Welcome: Albright, Texas-Dallas

    >> From Way Downtown: New England College's Rene Hudson has 292 triples in her career and needs eight to become the 20th DIII player to reach 300.

    >> What We're Watching: Pacific at #21 George Fox (TUE); #10 Wartburg at Luther (WED); #12 Baldwin Wallace at Ohio Northern (WED); Trinity, Conn. at #1 Tufts (FRI); #3 Bowdoin at #9 Amherst (FRI); #13 Chicago at Emory (FRI); #22 Austin at #14 Trinity, Texas (SAT); Catholic at #17 Scranton (SAT); Haverford at #18 Gettysburg (SAT).

    6.   Hockey Poll

    >> Hello: UW-Stevens Point, Wilkes.

    >> What We're Watching (M): Aurora vs. #7 Lake Forest (FRI/SAT); #3 Geneseo at Oswego (FRI); #4 Utica at #15 Elmira (FRI); New England College at #5 Hobart (SAT); #9 Williams at #9 Trinity (SAT).

    >> Strength of Schedule: #13 UW-Stevens Point has played the second-most difficult schedule to date, as its opponents' winning percentage is .610. Plattsburgh is tops at .615.

    >> On the Move (W): Hamline (+4)

    >> What We're Watching (W): #2 Middlebury at #7 Norwich (TUE); #8 UW-River Falls at St. Thomas (WED); Cortland at #1 Plattsburgh (FRI/SAT).

    >> Biscuit in the Basket: UW-River Falls' soph Abigail Stow leads DIII with 23 goals. Alvernia's Olivia Gilida tops all first-years with 13.

    7.  Comings and Goings

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